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Annual, Annualized, q4/q4 Growth Rates: A Graphical Depiction April 19, 2018
Why do reported growth rates differ for the same variable? Refer to the last three years of GDP data to see… Figure 1: Quarterly GDP, SAAR, FRED series GDPC1 (dark red line), annual, FRED series GDPCA (green bars), in billions of Chained 2009$. 2017 q4/q4 growth rate (red arrow); annual 2017 y/y growth rate (green […]
Menzie Chinn
Net vs. Gross Investment April 19, 2018
Deregulatory moves, both actual and anticipated, have been hailed as spurring business fixed investment [1] Is there content to this assertion? A glance at nonresidential fixed investment seems to be supportive. Figure 1: Private nonresidential fixed investment, in billions of Ch.2009$, SAAR (blue). NBER defined recession dates shaded gray. Source: BEA, 2017 […]
Menzie Chinn

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